Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 68.159664 76.964704 85.986526 95.889311 106.422190 117.261177 129.228778
2025-07-20 55.648949 68.396164 82.057369 97.654561 114.843358 133.093635 153.823857
2025-07-27 46.921224 61.677160 78.046772 97.280004 119.005428 142.559206 169.806830
2025-08-03 39.963444 55.990201 74.346345 96.468043 121.988026 150.138080 183.186239
2025-08-10 35.131698 52.187206 72.288155 97.048005 126.118035 158.638284 197.268116
2025-08-17 30.478268 48.101092 69.479448 96.379773 128.493386 164.889793 208.588620
2025-08-24 26.961080 45.083383 67.668144 96.637149 131.729698 171.950799 220.680701
2025-08-31 23.360661 41.606218 65.006621 95.620649 133.254426 176.867439 230.173347
2025-09-07 21.168427 39.814664 64.315751 96.891978 137.410877 184.777304 243.067350
2025-09-14 19.355382 38.377498 63.953345 98.468668 141.857440 192.973111 256.256788
2025-09-21 16.884562 35.756136 61.849894 97.689689 143.301010 197.512682 265.087597
2025-09-28 14.252577 32.622442 58.852287 95.589439 142.970403 199.819715 271.192815
2025-10-05 13.632770 32.592113 60.143764 99.134795 149.773864 210.828813 287.763478
2025-10-12 12.607584 31.812433 60.324029 101.174934 154.664646 219.522639 301.596244
2025-10-19 10.990969 29.877194 58.734324 100.753860 156.355007 224.260269 310.650243
2025-10-26 9.443747 27.875516 56.921423 99.931427 157.455405 228.219204 318.726144
2025-11-02 8.400533 26.653972 56.184805 100.522332 160.338162 234.348953 329.409728
2025-11-09 7.179984 24.935040 54.588818 99.840494 161.503383 238.305690 337.425118
2025-11-16 6.283822 23.728375 53.706603 100.103152 163.867659 243.731579 347.215834
2025-11-23 5.239509 22.043752 51.964889 99.065659 164.453898 246.886997 354.197727
2025-11-30 4.711028 21.406468 51.867508 100.363234 168.134333 253.933531 365.961259
2025-12-07 4.279599 20.928421 51.998477 101.972273 172.222574 261.494832 378.365977
2025-12-14 3.532595 19.542263 50.530059 101.177339 173.027045 264.858024 385.563991